BGSU Poll

The BGSU Poll conducts regular statewide polling in Ohio to better understand citizen views on a variety of issues and political preferences. A team of scholars working in the Bowling Green State University Democracy and Public Policy Network are responsible for developing and analyzing each poll. The BGSU Poll partners with the national polling firm YouGov to obtain representative samples for each survey based upon relevant demographic data.

Democracy and Public Policy Network expert analysis on national poll of U.S. likely voters

The Bowling Green State University Democracy and Public Policy Network has released the September BGSU/YouGov Poll, a national web-based poll of 1200 U.S. likely voters conducted from Aug. 25 to Sept. 1, 2026. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percentage points

The poll was conducted under the direction of Bowling Green State University professors Dr. Robert Alexander, Dr. Melissa K. Miller, Dr. David Jackson and Dr. Joshua Boston in partnership with YouGov. 

Trump with low approval – Most believe the country is on the wrong track with significant concerns over the economy and the Iran War

“Donald Trump is deeply unpopular and every one of his policies we asked voters about is underwater, too. Although Donald Trump will not be on the ballot, Democrats will do their best to tie him to their opponents this fall.”
- Robert Alexander, professor of political science, BGSU

President Trump finds himself with a net job approval rating of minus-20% (40% approve to 60% disapprove). Among those who voted in 2024, more than one in 10 Trump voters now regret their vote to some degree (14%). More than six in 10 respondents (62%) say the country is on the wrong track, including 67% of independents.

The economy continues to top the list of the most important issues on the minds of U.S. likely voters. Asked to identify their three most important issues, respondents listed the economy (38%), inflation (31%), government corruption (30%), immigration (25%), threats to democracy (24%) and health care (22%). A significant majority (63%) believe the national economy has gotten worse in the last year, which is up from 55% saying the same thing in our February national poll. Just 18% say the national economy has gotten better in the last year. A majority of respondents oppose Trump’s policies relating to every single policy we asked them about, with inflation (67%), tariffs (65%), the Iran war (65%), affordability (60%), and cuts to government programs (56%) revealing the most opposition.

Democrats with early midterm advantage and early look at 2028 hopefuls

“While it's still early, the 2028 GOP presidential nomination looks to be a two-person race, with Marco Rubio picking up steam and J.D. Vance beginning to slip. On the Democratic side, the race for the presidential nomination is much more wide open.”
- Melissa K. Miller, professor of political science, BGSU

The poll finds an edge for Democrats with U.S. likely voters leading the generic congressional ballot by 7 points–51% to 44%. Democrats also report being more enthusiastic than Republicans to vote in this fall’s midterm election by a 26-point margin, 60% to 34%.

We asked Americans about 14 public policy areas and respondents indicated that Democrats would do a better job than Republicans handling all but two of those areas (securing the border and keeping America safe). The Democrats’ biggest advantages over Republicans come to making health care more affordable (+22%), protecting Social Security (+18%), making housing more affordable (+15%), improving education (+14%) and lowering the cost of living (+12%).

Following up on our February 2026 national poll, we once again asked partisans who they would support for president in 2028. Among Republicans, JD Vance leads with 44% support
(down from 51% in February), followed by Marco Rubio at 21% (up from 15%). All other possible Republican candidates we tested posted single-digit support.

Among Democrats, Kamala Harris leads with 17% (virtually unchanged since February), followed by Pete Buttigieg at 16% (up from 11%), Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 14% (up from 11%), Gavin Newsom at 14% (down from 21%), and Mark Kelly at 10% (up from 7%). All other Democratic candidates we tested posted single-digit support.

The party in power almost always loses seats in midterm elections

“The party in power almost always loses seats in midterm elections, and 2026 is shaping up to maintain this pattern. Democrats are far more motivated to vote, hold a lead on the generic ballot and are trusted by voters more on most issues, including health care affordability, Social Security and housing.”
– Robert Alexander, professor of political science, BGSU

Virtually all Americans are exhausted with politics and believe politicians are out of touch

"While political polarization has defined much of the past 20 years, our findings suggest something much broader in the data. Americans are frustrated with the political system itself and skeptical that elected officials understand their everyday concerns.” 
– Robert Alexander, professor of political science, BGSU

More than nine in 10 Americans (92%) think politicians are out of touch with regular people. Eighty-seven percent agree that politics today leaves them feeling exhausted. Less than a third (31%) are satisfied with the way democracy is working in the United States, while more than three-quarters (76%) believe the Founders would be dissatisfied with how American government is working today. 

Americans report that anything is better than today’s politics, including the DMV and mosquitoes

“Americans are clearly dissatisfied with the state of politics. Perhaps worse, we see that many are conveying an even broader crisis of confidence in democracy itself. It should be a warning sign for the health of our democracy that nearly two-thirds believe that life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness are in serious jeopardy. Perhaps it is no wonder that most Americans would rather deal with the DMV, a headache or an early morning alarm than today’s politics.”
– Robert Alexander, professor of political science, BGSU

To understand Americans’ views about the current state of politics better, we asked respondents to choose whether they preferred “politics today” to things they experience in their everyday lives. Americans prefer early morning alarms (71%), the DMV (68%), jury duty (67%), labor unions (63%), Taylor Swift (60%), and headaches (60%) over politics today. They also prefer getting bitten by a mosquito (59%), slow WiFi (59%), stubbing their toe (58%), the news media (54%) and landlords (52%) more than today’s politics.

Notably, only 12% of Americans have at least a somewhat favorable view of politics today. Even so, respondents still preferred today's politics over billionaires, telemarketers, health insurance companies, artificial intelligence, Elon Musk and root canals.

View the complete September 2026 poll results:
Topline findings
Cross-tabulation findings


Methodology Statement

YouGov interviewed 1,334 U.S. registered voters, who were then matched down to a sample of 1,200 to produce the final dataset. The respondents were matched to a sampling frame on gender, age, race, and education. The sampling frame is a politically representative 'modeled frame' of U.S. registered voters, based upon the 2024 Current Population Survey (CPS) Voting and Registration supplements. The matched cases were weighted to the sampling frame using propensity scores. The matched cases and the frame were combined and a logistic regression was estimated for inclusion in the frame. The propensity score function included age, gender, race/ethnicity, years of education, region, and home ownership. The propensity scores were grouped into deciles of the estimated propensity score in the frame and post-stratified according to these deciles. The weights were then post-stratified on 2024 presidential vote choice, as well as a four-way stratification of gender, age (4-categories), race (4-categories), and education (4-categories) to produce the final weight.

Inquires can be directed to Dr. Robert Alexander at robalex@bgsu.edu.


Updated: 09/09/2026 04:56PM